Tannehill’s Unfortunate Career Arc

How QBs age.  Tannehill is 25.  His Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt ranked 28 last year.   From his current ANPA plot where he will be in a few years on the graph below.  From 25 to 28-29 we can expect a two year peak where Tannehill enjoys about plus .4 Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt.  That .4 increase would put him in Case Keenum territory at 24th in the league.  All this is based on the assumption that Tannehill is a 10+ year QB.  So Tannehill’s improvement curve looks to be from the bottom to a peak of below average for 2 – 3 years.


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